Iraq's Oil Tomorrow. The US - Iraq war was partly about oil - but not in the way we commonly imagine. US policy in the region poses as many threats to US oil companies as opportunities. This short analysis sets out three scenarios for the future of Iraq's oil. By Valérie Marcel and John Mitchell.
By Cicero Foundation, Netherlands, France, US, Iraq.
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France: Champion of a Multipolar World . Some observers consider the recent standoff between France and the United States to be a temporary event. They stress the fact that we have witnessed similar crises before, as in Suez in 1956. Such an assessment, however, does not take into account the fundamentally different situation of today... By Marcel H. van Herpen.
By Cicero Foundation , Netherlands, France.
The Iraq Crisis and Its Impact on the Future of EU-US Relations: An American View. 'The key debates between US policymakers are not those of "hawks" versus "doves" as was the case during the Cold war, as depicted by the international media, but a debate between "vultures" and "owls." It is my view that the "vultures" (who stressed the need for preclusive intervention) have had their day for the moment, but the "owls" (who stress diplomacy backed by force) will now have theirs.' So says Hall Gardner.
By Cicero Foundation , Netherlands, France, EU, US.
Regime Change. A collection of analytical essays assessing how well previous exercises in regime change worked in West Germany, Japan, Cambodia, Haiti, South Africa, East Timor, the Balkans and Afghanistan and offering thoughts on what makes for a successful transition. Edited by Roger Gough.
By Policy Exchange , UK.